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The Patience System
Like most money management
systems, this system comes in many variations, but the basic
concept never changes. For example, this is how a person
playing the game of craps might utilize it. The player knows
that the odds of a shooter making a pass at at craps are
around fifty-fifty. However, the odds against a shooter
making 3 passes in a row are only about seven to one. So,
the player feels that if he/she waits until the shooter
makes 2 passes in a row and then bets against them, he/she
will have the odds to his/her favor seven to one.
While it is definitely true
that the odds against shooting 3 passes in a row are
approximately seven to one, you aren't really betting
against 3 straight passes - you are betting against a pass
AFTER the the first 2 have taken place. The odds on the next
roll will ALWAYS stay the same because the dice have no
memory. Alas, your odds of winning that NEXT don't-pass bet
are still just under fifty-fifty.
You should also keep in mind
that even if the shooter does not make 3 passes in a row,
you still might not win. For example, if the shooter rolls a
twelve on the come-out roll, the shooter loses, but on your
don't-pass, it is only considered to be a standoff. This way
the house has the edge regardless of how many passes in a
row you wait for before you wager.
Let us put it to you this
way. The chances of you being killed by a heard of rhinos in
your front yard are probably a million to one. This doesn't
mean that if for some whacked-out reason you should see a
heard coming down your street, that you should just
stand there willing to risk the million to one odds.
Lastly, if you really want to
try this system after all that has been stated, choose a
crap table that is not occupied by a bunch of people. If the
table has too many people you will be waiting a long time
and dealers are very likely to ask you to leave the table to
make room for paying players. |
